Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.241618 0.274294 0.309261 0.349402 0.394154 0.442449 0.498455
2025-10-19 0.197733 0.241505 0.291391 0.352245 0.424254 0.506517 0.607367
2025-10-26 0.168903 0.219722 0.280849 0.359342 0.456959 0.573827 0.723742
2025-11-02 0.148713 0.204603 0.275106 0.369782 0.492689 0.645842 0.849980
2025-11-09 0.128208 0.185828 0.261782 0.368045 0.511465 0.696721 0.952225
2025-11-16 0.112032 0.170401 0.250518 0.366870 0.529523 0.746498 1.054973
2025-11-23 0.098660 0.156999 0.240153 0.365159 0.545635 0.793545 1.155812
2025-11-30 0.090207 0.149581 0.237153 0.372953 0.574736 0.859214 1.285102
2025-12-07 0.081067 0.139939 0.229701 0.373131 0.592209 0.908810 1.393778
2025-12-14 0.073198 0.131316 0.222776 0.373125 0.608802 0.957364 1.502800
2025-12-21 0.066562 0.123897 0.216889 0.373922 0.626159 1.007386 1.615910
2025-12-28 0.061764 0.119006 0.214498 0.379818 0.651413 1.070132 1.750742
2026-01-04 0.057953 0.115617 0.214564 0.390172 0.685176 1.148985 1.916447
2026-01-11 0.053365 0.110306 0.210852 0.393828 0.708166 1.212142 2.060988
2026-01-18 0.049950 0.106779 0.209874 0.401955 0.738904 1.289049 2.230989
2026-01-25 0.047371 0.104550 0.210962 0.413653 0.776233 1.378337 2.425055
2026-02-01 0.043207 0.098694 0.204828 0.411816 0.789850 1.428958 2.557975
2026-02-08 0.039555 0.093446 0.199314 0.410562 0.804175 1.481164 2.695593
2026-02-15 0.036207 0.088432 0.193761 0.408694 0.817064 1.531255 2.831579
2026-02-22 0.034312 0.086337 0.193749 0.417329 0.849505 1.616500 3.031246
2026-03-01 0.031724 0.082390 0.189619 0.417533 0.866109 1.674495 3.185912
2026-03-08 0.029354 0.078656 0.185574 0.417529 0.882163 1.732038 3.341999
2026-03-15 0.027274 0.075353 0.182126 0.418413 0.899836 1.793122 3.506740